The rule of any government is difficult to judge within 100 days, but it is enough time to observe and learn about the instincts of the new leadership. One may observe whether a particular group of people is celebrating a victory or turning it in a certain direction. When discussing the newly formed government in Bangladesh, we may speak of both assurance and alarm. Assurance, since the administration has so far demonstrated initiative, confidence, and determination in addressing neglected issues. On the other hand, one should bear in mind that the country’s problems are deep, systemic, and politically compromised, and so need more time to be fixed.
The new administration, making it to the office through the 13th parliamentary election on February 12 this year, had the unusual combination of pressure and opportunities. Bangladesh had been facing hard times due to political conflicts, social mistrust, and financial instability. Nevertheless, the election resulted in a victory that gave the BNP a solid mandate and extremely high expectations from society. People supported the party not just because of the electoral process but because they wanted to see normalcy, security, lower prices, jobs, safety, and respect for citizens.
From this perspective, one may observe another victory achieved by the BNP government—psychologically. After a long break during the transition period, Bangladesh returned to its constitutional government. It is crucial for the country as it faces constant alternation between political triumphalism and fear. Even the process of return to democracy should be perceived as a remarkable step forward. From this perspective, Prime Minister Tarique Rahman has sought to demonstrate calmness, determination, and statecraft, rather than revenge, street rhetoric, and drama.
It goes without saying that the prime minister has demonstrated another side of himself. Over the years, he became one of the most controversial political figures in the country, trusted by his supporters while distrusted by the others. Moreover, he spent many years living in exile; thus, he faced difficulties returning to political life. However, the first 100 days showed a more humble leader than people were used to.
The prime minister has demonstrated patience and restraint in his public speeches. Diplomatic meetings revealed that he chose a milder attitude rather than harshness. Politics in Bangladesh is usually marked by loudness, confrontation, and aggression; the prime minister, however, decided to adopt humility. For a country exhausted by constant enmity, humility may also bring benefits.
A positive aspect of this government’s strategy is that it chose a more sensible way to deal with the political opposition. As for policies, the government demonstrates its activity. Firstly, the focus has been on inflation, energy, employment and law enforcement, as expected by the people. Secondly, there are initiatives designed to assist farmers and poor citizens. Thirdly, this government understands that, to be successful, it must prove its ability to govern the country effectively.
In international relations, the BNP government seems to act reasonably as the country is unable to afford adventurous policies. Today, Bangladesh should find a way to maintain good relations with the neighbouring countries, major powers, donor countries, and regional players at once. So far, the government has succeeded in this matter.
However, the challenges that the BNP government is likely to face in the coming months are huge.
Today, the most difficult aspect of political life in Bangladesh is its culture. Ruling parties traditionally fall victim to patronage systems and overconfidence in their own loyalty, as well as the idea that a victory gives the right to dominate. Should the government make the same mistake, its popularity is likely to decline rapidly.
Another problem relates to the level of expectations from the government. As the ruling party has won the election, myths have emerged about its political return, resilience, and the country’s correction. However, symbols should lead to actual change.
So, the following question arises: will the government manage to improve democratic institutions? Can they tolerate criticism? Is there any chance to fight corruption? Will they show professionalism despite political preferences?
These questions are crucial because their answer will determine this government’s fate.
Nevertheless, some may agree that the new government has behaved well in its first 100 days. Compared to expectations, it seems much more mature, restrained, and reasonable.
It may be explained by either personal experience of suffering from politics or the understanding that the country has changed.
Bangladesh no longer wants endless confrontation. People want to live normally, with working institutions. Moreover, they want to hear the voice of reason.
One hundred days is far too short for a full assessment. But they are enough to judge its direction. The first 100 days do not yet offer a verdict. They offer something more important: a possibility.
Zillur Rahman is a political analyst and president at the Centre for Governance Studies (CGS). He hosts ‘Tritiyo Matra’ on Channel i. His X handle is @zillur.
Views expressed in this article are the author's own.
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