Bangladesh is stepping into a new phase of trade diplomacy as it signs its first Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with Japan tomorrow, a deal meant to preserve duty-free market access after the country’s graduation from the least developed country club later this year.

A Bangladesh delegation led by Commerce Adviser Sk Bashir Uddin will leave Dhaka for Tokyo today to sign the agreement, Commerce Secretary Mahbubur Rahman told The Daily Star yesterday.

The EPA, approved by the Advisory Council on January 22, will give Bangladeshi exporters immediate duty-free access to 97 percent of their export basket, including ready-made garments (RMG) and nearly 7,379 other products.

In return, Japan will receive duty-free access to 1,039 products in the Bangladeshi market.

Automobiles from Japan, home to global brands such as Toyota, Honda and Subaru, will not enjoy duty-free entry under the deal, according to the commerce secretary.

Rahman said the move is deliberate to encourage Japanese entrepreneurs to invest directly in Bangladesh’s vehicle segment.

Officials believe this could prompt “handsome” investment in local vehicle manufacturing, possibly reshaping the country’s automotive industry.

Japan is already Bangladesh’s largest export destination in Asia, with annual shipments hovering around $2 billion, mostly garments. 

Imports from Japan, however, have remained relatively steady at around $1.8 billion to $2.7 billion in recent years, according to data from the Bangladesh Bank and the Export Promotion Bureau (EPB).

Officials say the EPA could help narrow this trade deficit by boosting exports while drawing Japanese capital into industrial zones across the country.

Apart from tariffs, the agreement covers trade in services, investment, customs procedures and intellectual property rights, according to the commerce ministry. 

“We are expecting a major shift of Japanese investment in Bangladesh under this EPA, as Japan is looking for a favourable investment destination and is choosing Bangladesh,” Commerce Secretary Rahman said.

At present, Japanese investment in Bangladesh stands at about $500 million, a small slice of Japan’s global investment. Still, several Japanese firms have already set up operations at the dedicated Japanese economic zone at Araihazar in Narayanganj district.

Under the deal, Bangladesh will open 97 service sub-sectors to Japan, while Japan will open 120 to Bangladesh. Officials expect this to speed up technology transfer and encourage long-term investment.

According to commerce ministry documents, garments will receive immediate duty-free access under Single Stage Transformation rules, a major win for the local RMG sector as the country prepares for the post-LDC competition.

For years, Bangladesh has been looking for trade agreements with major partners and blocs, including India, Turkey, Malaysia, China, the UAE, Indonesia, Nepal, Asean and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), to widen its footprint in Asian, African and Latin American markets.

Until now, the country has only signed a Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA) with Bhutan in 2020. This EPA with Japan marks its first full-fledged trade deal.

Dhaka and Tokyo had been progressing towards this deal since 2022, when then prime minister Sheikh Hasina said Bangladesh was open to negotiating free trade agreements, including with Japan. 

Subsequently, a joint study group was formed. Talks gathered pace in July 2023, with both sides signalling their intention to sign the EPA by late 2025 or early 2026, ahead of Bangladesh’s LDC graduation.

Momentum picked up after the Advisory Council gave its nod on January 22 this year, following Japan’s approval of the draft in December.

Last month, Japan also reaffirmed at the World Trade Organisation (WTO) that it would continue duty-free market access for Bangladesh for three more years, up to 2029.

Regarding the EPA with Japan, analysts say this sends a message about the country’s readiness to engage with major economies and trading blocs.

Abdur Razzaque, chairman of local think tank Research and Policy Integration for Development (RAPID), called the deal a positive signal but stressed that its success would depend on execution.

“It is a positive signal for Bangladesh to the foreign investors as it is a testimony that Bangladesh is capable of signing the deal even with Japan,” he said, adding that the country should actively attract Japanese investment, especially in export-oriented sectors such as man-made fibre industries.

Similarly, M Masrur Reaz, chairman of Policy Exchange Bangladesh, called the agreement an excellent development.

“This EPA will enable Bangladesh to be a partner of a country which is a member of the G-7. It will brighten our image,” he said.

If used well, the deal could also open new doors for foreign direct investment, Reaz added.